Obama unlikely to win by anything like his post-DNC margins. But Romney has no momentum, Obama's state polling is robust, and time is up.— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) November 5, 2012
Obama is up by 3 in the Pew Poll for likely voters...It's a modest lead, but it could be higher with the not likely voters.
Obama is over the 50 mark (no way Romney can win without Ohio)
86.3% Likely Obama win at 306.4 Electoral Votes
Princeton Election Consortium has an Obama win at 98.4% 303 Electoral votes
and Ireland is already paying out for an Obama win.